Al Salam Stadium · Referee T. Magdy · Analysis updated 16:11 UTC
Wadi Degla vs Enppi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Wadi Degla and 0.91 for Enppi, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Wadi Degla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wadi Degla win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.91
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wadi Degla home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Enppi away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wadi Degla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 27% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Wadi Degla and 0.91 for Enppi, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 2–09.9%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.0%
Recent form
Wadi Degla
- 2026-09-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs El Mokawloon · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Future FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Olympic El Qanah · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Enppi · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 0-0 (D)
Enppi
- 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Pyramids FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Masr · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghazl El Mehalla · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-28T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wadi Degla · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahly · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Masr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | El Mokawloon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Future FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Pyramids FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | AL Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Abu Qair Semad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Olympic El Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | El Gouna FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | National Bank of Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Zamalek SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Asyut Petrol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wadi Degla win, at 49.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.