Carl-Benz Stadion · Referee R. Schroder · Analysis updated 18:48 UTC
Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.26 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, a combined total of 2.51. That distribution gives 1. FC Kaiserslautern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.7% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Waldhof Mannheim home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
1. FC Kaiserslautern away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates 1. FC Kaiserslautern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 36% / 27% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.26 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, a combined 2.51 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–08.1%
- 1–28.1%
Recent form
Waldhof Mannheim
- 2026-10-17T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Würzburger Kickers · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Ingolstadt 04 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Elversberg · 2-1 (W)
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Heidenheim · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Magdeburg · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.