Carl-Benz Stadion · Analysis updated 14:30 UTC
Waldhof Mannheim vs Stuttgart II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.35 for Stuttgart II, a combined total of 3.08. That distribution gives Waldhof Mannheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Waldhof Mannheim win
46.3% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Waldhof Mannheim home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stuttgart II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Waldhof Mannheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 24% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Waldhof Mannheim and 1.35 for Stuttgart II, a combined 3.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.0%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–06.9%
Recent form
Waldhof Mannheim
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Mainz 05 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Elversberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Essen · 1-2 (L)
Stuttgart II
- 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SV Meppen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Würzburger Kickers · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hansa Rostock · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | FC Saarbrücken | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Waldhof Mannheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Alemannia Aachen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Verl | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Fortuna Köln | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | SV Meppen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | SV Wehen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Havelse | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Waldhof Mannheim win, at 46.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.