Walsall vs Fulham U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Walsall and 3.50 for Fulham U21, a combined total of 7.00. That distribution gives Walsall the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 95% for over 2.5 goals and 92% for both teams to score, with 3–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

57.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

3.50 – 3.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Walsall home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fulham U21 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Walsall to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 16% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for Walsall and 3.50 for Fulham U21, a combined 7.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Walsall win42%

Draw16%

Fulham U21 win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%

Over 2.5 goals95%

Over 3.5 goals90%

Both teams to score92%

Correct score

3–34.7%
3–44.1%
4–34.1%
2–34.0%
3–24.0%

Recent form

Walsall

2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Oldham · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Swindon Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Fulham U21 · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fleetwood Town · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tranmere · 1-1 (D)

Fulham U21

2026-09-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Leicester · 1-6 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chelsea U21 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Aston Villa U21 · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Braintree · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-31T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle United U21 · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-10-13T18:00:00.000Z · Walsall 3-2 Fulham U21 (EFL Trophy)
2024-09-17T18:00:00.000Z · Walsall 1-0 Fulham U21 (EFL Trophy)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 57.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–3.

It puts both teams scoring at 92% and over 2.5 goals at 95%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.