Eroglu-Arena · Analysis updated 10:32 UTC
Warbeyen W vs Stuttgart W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for Warbeyen W and 1.79 for Stuttgart W, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Stuttgart W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.8% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.79
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Warbeyen W home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stuttgart W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stuttgart W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 36% / 22% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for Warbeyen W and 1.79 for Stuttgart W, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.6%
Recent form
Warbeyen W
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Berlin W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)
Stuttgart W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayern Munich W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.