Eroglu-Arena · Analysis updated 23:48 UTC
Warbeyen W vs Wolfsburg II W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Warbeyen W and 2.10 for Wolfsburg II W, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Warbeyen W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
60.9% probability
Expected goals
2.15 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Warbeyen W home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wolfsburg II W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Warbeyen W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 20% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Warbeyen W and 2.10 for Wolfsburg II W, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–26.8%
- 1–16.4%
- 3–25.2%
Recent form
Warbeyen W
- 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Berlin W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Berlin W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Andernach W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)
Wolfsburg II W
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Frauen Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoria Berlin W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | SGS Essen W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Bochum W | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Meppen W | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Ingolstadt W | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Carl Zeiss Jena W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Borussia Monchengladbach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Andernach W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | SC Sand W | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II W | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 10 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 5 |
| 13 | Turbine Potsdam W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 5 |
| 14 | FC Koln II W | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.