· Analysis updated 10:41 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Darmstadt 98 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.84 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.95 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined total of 4.79. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win
56.6% probability
Expected goals
2.84 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Darmstadt 98 U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 18% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.84 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.95 for Darmstadt 98 U19, a combined 4.79 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–16.2%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.6%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Darmstadt 98 U19
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-05-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MSV Duisburg U19 · 0-8 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 56.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.