· Analysis updated 18:32 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Elversberg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.84 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.76 for Elversberg U19, a combined total of 4.60. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
2.84 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Elversberg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 17% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.84 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.76 for Elversberg U19, a combined 4.60 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.2%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–25.9%
- 1–15.0%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Elversberg U19
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia M'bach U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Köln U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.