· Analysis updated 17:11 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Fortuna Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 3.28 for Fortuna Köln U19, a combined total of 5.03. That distribution gives Fortuna Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Fortuna Köln U19 win
67.2% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 3.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fortuna Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 18% / 15% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 3.28 for Fortuna Köln U19, a combined 5.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–36.7%
- 1–26.2%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–45.5%
- 2–25.4%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Fortuna Köln U19
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaiserslautern U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Köln U19 · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Fortuna Köln U19 win, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.