· Analysis updated 21:56 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Hamburger SV U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.65 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.33 for Hamburger SV U19, a combined total of 4.98. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
2.65 – 2.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hamburger SV U19 away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 18% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.65 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.33 for Hamburger SV U19, a combined 4.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–26.6%
- 3–25.8%
- 2–15.6%
- 2–35.1%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Hamburger SV U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pauli U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs BAK 07 U19 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 5-6 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.