· Analysis updated 12:40 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Köln U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.60 for Köln U19, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Köln U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Köln U19 win
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 2.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Köln U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Köln U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 17% / 17% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.60 for Köln U19, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–16.9%
- 0–36.2%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Köln U19
- 2026-08-22T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FSV Frankfurt U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Köln U19 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum U19 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Köln U19 win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.