Germany · DFB Junioren Pokal · Round of 6411:30

5 – 0

Saturday, 1 August 2026

· Analysis updated 14:32 UTC

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Sandhausen U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.93 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.02 for Sandhausen U19, a combined total of 4.95. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win

56.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.93 – 2.02

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sandhausen U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 17% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.93 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 2.02 for Sandhausen U19, a combined 4.95 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win57%
Draw17%
Sandhausen U19 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 3–26.1%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 4–24.4%

Recent form

Wehen Wiesbaden U19

  • 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)

Sandhausen U19

  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Heidenheim U19 · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Freiburg U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 0-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 56.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 82% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.