· Analysis updated 15:37 UTC
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 vs Schott Mainz U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.13 expected goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.40 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Wehen Wiesbaden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win
71.5% probability
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Schott Mainz U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wehen Wiesbaden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.13 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden U19 and 1.40 for Schott Mainz U19, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.0%
- 3–05.5%
- 3–25.4%
Recent form
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
- 2026-08-29T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Köln U19 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Darmstadt 98 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 5-0 (W)
Schott Mainz U19
- 2026-05-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Saarbrücken U19 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wehen Wiesbaden U19 win, at 71.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.