Austria · Landesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 2217:00

1 – 0

Friday, 17 April 2026

PregartenLLDLL

Sportplatz Weißkirchen · Analysis updated 00:09 UTC

Weißkirchen / Allhaming vs Pregarten Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Weißkirchen / Allhaming and 0.70 for Pregarten, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Weißkirchen / Allhaming the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Weißkirchen / Allhaming win

64.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Weißkirchen / Allhaming home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Weißkirchen / Allhaming to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 22% / 14% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for Weißkirchen / Allhaming and 0.70 for Pregarten, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 43%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Match result (1X2)

Weißkirchen / Allhaming win64%
Draw22%
Pregarten win14%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 1–014.5%
  • 2–013.3%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–08.1%

Recent form

Weißkirchen / Allhaming

  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gschwandt · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Edelweiß · 3-2 (W)

Pregarten

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Landesliga - Oberosterreich table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1SK Vorwarts Steyr2918563259
    2Vortuna Bad Leonfelden2817382054
    3Bad Schallerbach2915592050
    4Union Perg28131051549
    5Weißkirchen / Allhaming2713681145
    6Friedburg / Pöndorf2712871544
    7Union Edelweiß291289344
    8Mondsee2912611642
    9Ostermiething2812412140
    10Union Vöcklamarkt2811611-139
    11St. Martin i.M.2810810138
    12Oedt259511532
    13Bad Ischl299317-3430
    14Pregarten285617-2121
    15Gschwandt285518-4320
    16Grün Weiß Micheldorf284618-3018

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Weißkirchen / Allhaming win, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.