Austria · Landesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 2417:30

3 – 1

Thursday, 30 April 2026

Sportplatz Weißkirchen · Analysis updated 16:35 UTC

Weißkirchen / Allhaming vs Union Vöcklamarkt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Weißkirchen / Allhaming and 0.98 for Union Vöcklamarkt, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Weißkirchen / Allhaming the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Weißkirchen / Allhaming win

55.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Weißkirchen / Allhaming home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Union Vöcklamarkt away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 8 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Weißkirchen / Allhaming to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.72 goals for Weißkirchen / Allhaming and 0.98 for Union Vöcklamarkt, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Weißkirchen / Allhaming win55%
Draw24%
Union Vöcklamarkt win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–011.6%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–06.7%

Recent form

Weißkirchen / Allhaming

  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gschwandt · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Union Edelweiß · 3-2 (W)

Union Vöcklamarkt

  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ostermiething · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gschwandt · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Vorwarts Steyr · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Landesliga - Oberosterreich table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1SK Vorwarts Steyr2918563259
2Vortuna Bad Leonfelden2817382054
3Bad Schallerbach2915592050
4Union Perg28131051549
5Weißkirchen / Allhaming2713681145
6Friedburg / Pöndorf2712871544
7Union Edelweiß291289344
8Mondsee2912611642
9Ostermiething2812412140
10Union Vöcklamarkt2811611-139
11St. Martin i.M.2810810138
12Oedt259511532
13Bad Ischl299317-3430
14Pregarten285617-2121
15Gschwandt285518-4320
16Grün Weiß Micheldorf284618-3018

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Weißkirchen / Allhaming win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.