· Analysis updated 21:45 UTC
Weissenfels vs Union Sandersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.03 expected goals for Weissenfels and 1.94 for Union Sandersdorf, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Weissenfels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.2% probability
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.94
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Union Sandersdorf away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Weissenfels to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.03 goals for Weissenfels and 1.94 for Union Sandersdorf, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.1%
Recent form
Weissenfels
- 2026-08-14T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Union Sandersdorf · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Frankfurt · 3-0 (W)
Union Sandersdorf
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Halle · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Germania Halberstadt · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZFC Meuselwitz | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 |
| 2 | Auerbach | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Germania Halberstadt | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | VfL Halle | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Eilenburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Dresden II | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Plauen | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Freital | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Weissenfels | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Sandersdorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Empor Glauchau | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Budissa Bautzen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Einheit Wernigerode | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Krieschow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Einheit Rudolstadt | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -18 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Frankfurt | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -22 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.