Weiz vs Gleisdorf 09 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Weiz and 1.00 for Gleisdorf 09, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Weiz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Weiz win

70.8% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.55 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Weiz home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Gleisdorf 09 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Weiz win71%

Draw16%

Gleisdorf 09 win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–09.3%
2–19.3%
3–07.9%
3–17.9%
1–07.3%

Recent form

Weiz

2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Allerheiligen · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SV Lafnitz · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Gleisdorf 09 · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Tillmitsch · 2-2 (D)

Gleisdorf 09

2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tillmitsch · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hartberg (Am) · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Allerheiligen · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 2-1 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - South)
2026-03-20T18:00:00.000Z · Weiz 1-1 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2025-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 1-3 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2025-05-23T17:30:00.000Z · Weiz 1-0 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2024-10-25T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 1-3 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2024-05-24T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 3-0 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2023-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 1-2 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2023-05-12T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 2-1 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2022-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · Weiz 2-4 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)
2022-03-05T14:00:00.000Z · Weiz 0-2 Gleisdorf 09 (Regionalliga - Mitte)

Regionalliga - South table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velden	11	7	4	0	11	25
2	Treibach	11	6	2	3	8	20
3	Austria Klagenfurt	11	6	2	3	4	20
4	Deutschlandsberger SC	10	5	4	1	7	19
5	Völkermarkt	11	5	2	4	8	17
6	Weiz	10	4	5	1	6	17
7	Kalsdorf	10	5	2	3	4	17
8	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	0	15
9	SV Lafnitz	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Allerheiligen	10	3	3	4	2	12
11	Tillmitsch	10	2	5	3	-2	11
12	Bleiburg	11	2	4	5	-3	10
13	Gleisdorf 09	10	2	2	6	-9	8
14	Hartberg (Am)	10	1	4	5	-8	7
15	Wolfsberg	11	1	4	6	-18	7
16	Donau Klagenfurt	11	1	3	7	-10	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Weiz win, at 70.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.