· Analysis updated 20:47 UTC
Wellen vs Hades Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Wellen and 2.09 for Hades, a combined total of 3.90. That distribution gives Hades the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hades win
45.1% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 2.09
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wellen home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hades away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.0%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Wellen
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bocholt · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Eendracht Termien · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Royal Antwerp II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Overijse · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing Mechelen · 2-3 (L)
Hades
- 2026-10-24T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sint-Truiden II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T17:30:00.000Z · A vs De Kempen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bocholt · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tongeren · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · Wellen 2-3 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
- 2026-02-21T18:30:00.000Z · Wellen 1-1 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
- 2025-12-06T19:00:00.000Z · Wellen 4-0 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
- 2025-03-15T18:30:00.000Z · Wellen 2-4 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
- 2024-11-30T19:00:00.000Z · Wellen 1-2 Hades (Second Amateur Division - VFV B)
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | De Kempen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Racing Mechelen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Royal Antwerp II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Hades | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Eendracht Termien | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Bocholt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Wilrijk | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Rupel Boom | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Nijlen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Rotselaar | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Wellen | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Diegem Sport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Cappellen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Tongeren | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hades win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.