· Analysis updated 16:12 UTC
Werder Bremen II vs HSC Hannover Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.75 for HSC Hannover, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives HSC Hannover the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
HSC Hannover win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Werder Bremen II home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
HSC Hannover away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates HSC Hannover to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 23% / 24% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.75 for HSC Hannover, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.3%
- 1–06.4%
Recent form
Werder Bremen II
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Atlas Delmenhorst · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hannover 96 II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schöningen · 0-1 (L)
HSC Hannover
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV II · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Norderstedt · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfB Lübeck · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Weiche Flensburg · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Phönix Lübeck · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - Nord table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weiche Flensburg | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 34 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 II | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | SV Drochtersen/Assel | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | VfB Oldenburg | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 5 | Phönix Lübeck | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Schöningen | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Atlas Delmenhorst | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Kickers Emden | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | VfB Lübeck | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | HSC Hannover | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 17 |
| 11 | Eimsbütteler TV | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 14 |
| 12 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV II | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -14 | 13 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen II | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Todesfelde | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -21 | 12 |
| 17 | St. Pauli II | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Bremer SV | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is HSC Hannover win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.