Werder Bremen vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Werder Bremen and 2.20 for Eintracht Frankfurt, a combined total of 4.58. That distribution gives Werder Bremen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.38 – 2.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Werder Bremen home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Werder Bremen win44%

Draw19%

Eintracht Frankfurt win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals83%

Over 3.5 goals67%

Both teams to score81%

Correct score

2–27.0%
2–16.4%
1–25.9%
3–25.6%
1–15.4%

Recent form

Werder Bremen

2026-10-09T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Twente · 0-7 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Augsburg · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Köln · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig · 3-1 (W)

Eintracht Frankfurt

2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig · 0-6 (L)
2026-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Freiburg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs FSV Mainz 05 · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-06T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Augsburg · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-01-16T19:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 3-3 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2025-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 1-4 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2025-04-05T16:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2024-11-23T17:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2024-04-05T18:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2023-11-12T16:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2023-02-18T17:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 0-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2022-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 3-4 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2021-02-26T19:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
2020-10-31T14:30:00.000Z · Werder Bremen 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga)

Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	6	4	2	0	17	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	7	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	9	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	7	13
5	FSV Mainz 05	6	3	1	2	4	10
6	SV Elversberg	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	5	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	0	9
9	Hamburger SV	6	3	0	3	-9	9
10	FC Augsburg	6	2	2	2	4	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	-6	8
12	1. FC Köln	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	-2	6
14	1899 Hoffenheim	6	2	0	4	-3	6
15	FC Schalke 04	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	SC Paderborn 07	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	-12	5
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 81% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.