· Analysis updated 15:47 UTC
Westbury United vs Thame United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Westbury United and 1.53 for Thame United, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Thame United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.7% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Westbury United home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Thame United away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Thame United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 32% / 25% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Westbury United and 1.53 for Thame United, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Westbury United
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Thame United · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Didcot Town · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:22.000Z · H vs Shaftesbury Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:22.000Z · H vs Bristol Manor Farm · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Melksham Town · 2-0 (W)
Thame United
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chichester City · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-23T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Exmouth · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Exmouth · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Portland United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Reading City · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.