· Analysis updated 18:23 UTC
Westerlo U21 vs Kortrijk U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Westerlo U21 and 1.45 for Kortrijk U21, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Westerlo U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Westerlo U21 win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Westerlo U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 23% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Westerlo U21 and 1.45 for Kortrijk U21, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 47% with low confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
Westerlo U21
Kortrijk U21
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waasland-Beveren U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | Westerlo U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | RFC Seraing Reserve U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Kortrijk U21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | RWDM U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | RAAL La Louviere U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | K. Beerschot V.A. Reserve U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Francs Borains U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | RFC de Liege U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | Lierse K. U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 11 | Sp. Hasselt U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Westerlo U21 win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.