Het Kuipje · Analysis updated 00:13 UTC
Westerlo W vs Gent W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Westerlo W and 1.65 for Gent W, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Gent W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Gent W win
45.7% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Gent W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gent W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 24% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Westerlo W and 1.65 for Gent W, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–27.1%
Recent form
Westerlo W
Gent W
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Gent W win, at 45.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.