Germany · Oberliga - Westfalen · Westfalen - 713:00

1 – 0

Sunday, 20 September 2026

· Analysis updated 13:26 UTC

Westfalia Kinderhaus vs Preußen Münster II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for Westfalia Kinderhaus and 1.32 for Preußen Münster II, a combined total of 2.59. That distribution gives Preußen Münster II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Westfalia Kinderhaus home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Preußen Münster II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Preußen Münster II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 35% / 27% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.26 goals for Westfalia Kinderhaus and 1.32 for Preußen Münster II, a combined 2.59 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Westfalia Kinderhaus win35%
Draw27%
Preußen Münster II win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.0%

Recent form

Westfalia Kinderhaus

  • 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Verl II · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Victoria Clarholz · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster II · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Maaslingen · 1-2 (L)

Preußen Münster II

  • 2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ennepetal · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TuS Hordel · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lippstadt 08 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Schermbeck · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-08T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Schalke 04 II · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Westfalen table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gievenbeck128221526
2Vreden12732724
3Maaslingen12714622
4Eintracht Rheine12633721
5Arminia II12633621
6Lippstadt 0812624220
7ASC Dortmund11614619
8Erkenschwick12543419
9Sprockhovel12534718
10Preußen Münster II12534318
11Verl II12525417
12Westfalia Kinderhaus11434-315
13Hiltrup12417-1013
14TuS Hordel12264-412
15SpVgg Herne Horsthausen12408-1412
16Ennepetal12255-1011
17Victoria Clarholz12228-78
18Schermbeck120210-192

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.