Preussenstadion · Referee J. Hasmann · Analysis updated 16:28 UTC
Westfalia Rhynern vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Westfalia Rhynern and 1.60 for Dynamo Dresden, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Westfalia Rhynern the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.4% probability
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Westfalia Rhynern home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dynamo Dresden away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Westfalia Rhynern to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 22% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Westfalia Rhynern and 1.60 for Dynamo Dresden, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.4%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–05.8%
Recent form
Westfalia Rhynern
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Bonner SC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bergisch Gladbach · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Köln II · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Borussia Dortmund II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Bochum II · 1-0 (W)
Dynamo Dresden
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hertha BSC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Bochum · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Heidenheim · 3-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-23T13:30:00.000Z · Westfalia Rhynern 0-6 Dynamo Dresden (DFB Pokal)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.