Whyteleafe vs Dartford Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Whyteleafe and 1.58 for Dartford, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Dartford the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

65.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Whyteleafe home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dartford away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dartford to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 35% / 24% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.43 goals for Whyteleafe and 1.58 for Dartford, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Whyteleafe win35%

Draw24%

Dartford win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–28.8%
2–18.0%
0–17.8%
1–07.1%

Recent form

Whyteleafe

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 5-0 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maldon & Tiptree · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Brentwood Town · 1-2 (L)

Dartford

2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Three Bridges · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Brentwood Town · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Whyteleafe · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wingate & Finchley · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ramsgate · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · Whyteleafe 2-1 Dartford (Non League Premier - Isthmian)

Non League Premier - Isthmian table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	17	28
2	Welling United	13	9	0	4	11	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	8	0	5	13	24
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	7	1	7	-5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	5	5	2	6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	5	2	2	5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	-1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	4	2	9	-17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	-1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	-13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	-20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.