Whyteleafe vs Dulwich Hamlet Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Whyteleafe and 1.57 for Dulwich Hamlet, a combined total of 3.31. That distribution gives Whyteleafe the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.74 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Whyteleafe home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dulwich Hamlet away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Whyteleafe to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for Whyteleafe and 1.57 for Dulwich Hamlet, a combined 3.31 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Whyteleafe win42%

Draw23%

Dulwich Hamlet win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–18.7%
1–27.8%
2–26.8%
1–06.3%

Recent form

Whyteleafe

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dartford · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 5-0 (W)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maldon & Tiptree · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Brentwood Town · 1-2 (L)

Dulwich Hamlet

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Enfield Town · 0-3 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Salisbury · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Aveley · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hastings United · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Welling United · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Premier - Isthmian table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	17	28
2	Welling United	13	9	0	4	11	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	8	0	5	13	24
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	7	1	7	-5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	5	5	2	6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	5	2	2	5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	-1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	4	2	9	-17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	-1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	-13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	-20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.