· Analysis updated 03:06 UTC
Wick Academy vs Forres Mechanics Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for Wick Academy and 2.17 for Forres Mechanics, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Forres Mechanics the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Forres Mechanics win
58.1% probability
Expected goals
1.26 – 2.17
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wick Academy home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Forres Mechanics away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Forres Mechanics to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 22% / 20% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.26 goals for Wick Academy and 2.17 for Forres Mechanics, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
42%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–36.9%
Recent form
Wick Academy
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Turriff United · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Formartine United · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Deveronvale · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-07T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Clachnacuddin · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tayport · 0-3 (L)
Forres Mechanics
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stirling University · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Strathspey Thistle · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Banks O' Dee · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Buckie Thistle · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wick Academy · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Football League - Highland League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 42 | 39 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 | Formartine United | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Banks O' Dee | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Clachnacuddin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 23 |
| 7 | Huntly | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 | Strathspey Thistle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 |
| 9 | Forres Mechanics | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Deveronvale | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Nairn County | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Turriff United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 20 |
| 13 | Buckie Thistle | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 14 | Keith | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | Lossiemouth | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -21 | 13 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -27 | 10 |
| 18 | Rothes | 15 | 1 | 0 | 14 | -53 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Forres Mechanics win, at 58.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.