· Analysis updated 05:17 UTC
Wieczysta Kraków vs Slavia Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.43 for Slavia Praha, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Wieczysta Kraków the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wieczysta Kraków win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.43
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wieczysta Kraków home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slavia Praha away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wieczysta Kraków to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Wieczysta Kraków and 1.43 for Slavia Praha, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–27.4%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Wieczysta Kraków
- 2026-10-25T11:15:00.000Z · A vs Slask Wroclaw · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Raków Częstochowa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs GKS Katowice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Wisla Plock · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Puszcza Niepołomice · 4-3 (W)
Slavia Praha
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mlada Boleslav · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahçe · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-13T16:45:00.000Z · A vs Sabah FA · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zlin · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wieczysta Kraków win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.