· Analysis updated 11:01 UTC
Wiedenbrück vs Hiltrup Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for Wiedenbrück and 1.53 for Hiltrup, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives Wiedenbrück the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.5% probability
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.53
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wiedenbrück home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hiltrup away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wiedenbrück to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.76 goals for Wiedenbrück and 1.53 for Hiltrup, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Wiedenbrück
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SG Wattenscheid 09 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-30T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Sportfreunde Siegen · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs VfL Osnabrück · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Bocholt · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn II · 1-0 (W)
Hiltrup
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gievenbeck · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ennepetal · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs TuS Hordel · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lippstadt 08 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Schermbeck · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-08T17:00:00.000Z · Wiedenbrück 3-0 Hiltrup (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.