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Friday, 3 July 2026

· Analysis updated 04:58 UTC

Wiener SC vs Floridsdorfer AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Wiener SC and 1.14 for Floridsdorfer AC, a combined total of 3.09. That distribution gives Wiener SC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wiener SC win

56.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wiener SC home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Floridsdorfer AC away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wiener SC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Wiener SC and 1.14 for Floridsdorfer AC, a combined 3.09 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wiener SC win56%
Draw22%
Floridsdorfer AC win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–16.4%

Recent form

Wiener SC

  • 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Gloggnitz · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Favoritner AC · 2-0 (W)

Floridsdorfer AC

  • 2026-10-23T16:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Admira Wacker · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Salzburg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Liefering · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-03T16:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-2 Floridsdorfer AC (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2025-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 0-1 Floridsdorfer AC (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2023-07-14T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-4 Floridsdorfer AC (Friendlies Clubs)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wiener SC win, at 56.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.