· Analysis updated 07:10 UTC
Wiener SC vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Wiener SC and 1.98 for Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win
45.7% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wiener SC home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Wiener SC
- 2026-10-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Horn · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 3-2 (W)
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf
- 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiener Viktoria · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wiener SC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Mattersburg SV 2020 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Favoritner AC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Oberwart · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-16T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 2-0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2026-05-01T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 2-2 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2025-06-06T17:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 0-0 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-11-09T12:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 2-2 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2024-04-19T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-09-22T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-3 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2023-04-16T14:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 3-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-09-23T17:00:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-1 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
- 2022-03-29T17:30:00.000Z · Wiener SC 1-3 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf (Regionalliga - Ost)
Regionalliga - Ost table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 2 | Wiener SC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 26 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Traiskirchen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Krems / Rehberg | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Wiener Viktoria | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Fach-Donaufeld | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Scheiblingkirchen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 19 |
| 9 | Parndorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Leobendorf | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Mattersburg SV 2020 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Donau | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Gloggnitz | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Favoritner AC | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 13 |
| 15 | SV Horn | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Wienerberg | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | -40 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win, at 45.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.