Austria · Regionalliga - Ost · Ost - 615:00

5 – 1

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 05:25 UTC

Wiener Viktoria vs Scheiblingkirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Wiener Viktoria and 1.38 for Scheiblingkirchen, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Wiener Viktoria the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wiener Viktoria home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Scheiblingkirchen away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wiener Viktoria to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.40 goals for Wiener Viktoria and 1.38 for Scheiblingkirchen, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wiener Viktoria win38%
Draw25%
Scheiblingkirchen win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.3%

Recent form

Wiener Viktoria

  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Parndorf · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 3-0 (W)

Scheiblingkirchen

  • 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Donau · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Leobendorf · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf139132128
2Wiener SC138231626
3Oberwart138231126
4Traiskirchen13733524
5Krems / Rehberg13724523
6Wiener Viktoria13625320
7Fach-Donaufeld13625020
8Scheiblingkirchen13544-619
9Parndorf13535518
10Leobendorf13535218
11Mattersburg SV 202013517-516
12Donau13364315
13Gloggnitz13355-714
14Favoritner AC13418-913
15SV Horn13328-411
16Wienerberg130112-401

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.