The Brick Community Stadium · Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
Wigan vs Stockport County Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.74 expected goals for Wigan and 1.92 for Stockport County, a combined total of 3.66. That distribution gives Stockport County the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Stockport County or Draw
64.6% probability
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.92
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.6%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockport County to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.74 goals for Wigan and 1.92 for Stockport County, a combined 3.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Model confidence
Stockport County or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Wigan
Stockport County
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Oxford United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.