Belgium · Second Amateur Division - VFV B · VFV B - 518:00
WilrijkLWWLL

2 – 3

Saturday, 26 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:34 UTC

Wilrijk vs Tempo Overijse Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for Wilrijk and 2.37 for Tempo Overijse, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Tempo Overijse the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Tempo Overijse win

57.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.46 – 2.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Tempo Overijse away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Tempo Overijse to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 23% / 19% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.46 goals for Wilrijk and 2.37 for Tempo Overijse, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Wilrijk win23%
Draw19%
Tempo Overijse win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 1–37.0%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 0–26.1%

Recent form

Wilrijk

    Tempo Overijse

    • 2026-10-24T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Rotselaar · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z · H vs De Kempen · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bocholt · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Wellen · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilrijk · 3-2 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Second Amateur Division - VFV B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Tempo Overijse98011624
    2De Kempen9432815
    3Racing Mechelen9432515
    4Royal Antwerp II9504415
    5Hades9423514
    6Eendracht Termien9423314
    7Bocholt9423214
    8Sint-Truiden II9414113
    9Wilrijk9405012
    10Rupel Boom9333-312
    11Nijlen9324-811
    12Diegem Sport9243-410
    13Rotselaar9315-410
    14Wellen9315-410
    15Cappellen9135-136
    16Tongeren9054-85

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Tempo Overijse win, at 57.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

    A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.