· Analysis updated 16:56 UTC
Wingate & Finchley vs Enfield Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Wingate & Finchley and 2.03 for Enfield Town, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Enfield Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Enfield Town win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 2.03
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wingate & Finchley home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Enfield Town away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.5%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.8%
- 0–37.1%
Recent form
Wingate & Finchley
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Needham Market · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Carshalton Athletic · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ramsgate · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dartford · 1-2 (L)
Enfield Town
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hanworth Villa · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Three Bridges · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-12T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Carshalton Athletic · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dulwich Hamlet · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Stanway Rovers · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 1-4 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2024-05-01T18:45:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 0-1 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian - Play-offs)
- 2024-02-24T15:00:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 2-2 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2023-10-31T19:45:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 1-4 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2023-02-11T15:00:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 1-1 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2022-11-26T15:00:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 0-2 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2022-02-15T19:45:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 4-1 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
- 2021-10-12T18:45:00.000Z · Wingate & Finchley 1-2 Enfield Town (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
Non League Premier - Isthmian table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Welling United | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Eastbourne Borough | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | Chatham Town | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Dartford | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Ramsgate | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Carshalton Athletic | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | St Albans City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 11 | Burgess Hill Town | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 |
| 12 | Wingate & Finchley | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| 13 | Brentwood Town | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Leatherhead | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | Cheshunt | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Maldon & Tiptree | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -18 | 14 |
| 19 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 7 |
| 22 | Whitehawk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Enfield Town win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.