Wisła Kraków U19 vs Jagiellonia U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.78 for Jagiellonia U19, a combined total of 4.24. That distribution gives Wisła Kraków U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Wisła Kraków U19 win

52.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.45 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Wisła Kraków U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jagiellonia U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wisła Kraków U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 19% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.78 for Jagiellonia U19, a combined 4.24 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wisła Kraków U19 win53%

Draw19%

Jagiellonia U19 win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Over 3.5 goals61%

Both teams to score76%

Correct score

2–17.8%
2–26.9%
3–16.3%
1–16.3%
3–25.7%

Recent form

Wisła Kraków U19

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)

Jagiellonia U19

2026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 0-4 (L)
2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Talent Warszawa U19 · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Korona Kielce U19 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa U19	12	7	4	1	11	25
2	Miedź Legnica U19	12	8	1	3	12	25
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	12	6	3	3	5	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	12	5	5	2	6	20
5	Górnik Zabrze U19	12	4	6	2	7	18
6	Zagłębie Lubin U19	12	5	3	4	1	18
7	Jagiellonia U19	12	5	3	4	2	18
8	Arkonia U19	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Raków Częstochowa U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
10	Lech Poznań U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
11	Talent Warszawa U19	12	5	0	7	-5	15
12	Polonia Warszawa U19	12	4	2	6	2	14
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	4	2	6	-7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	12	2	4	6	-11	10
15	Arka Gdynia U19	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Escola Varsovia U19	12	2	3	7	-12	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wisła Kraków U19 win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.