· Analysis updated 14:11 UTC
Wisła Kraków U19 vs Korona Kielce U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.23 for Korona Kielce U19, a combined total of 3.92. That distribution gives Wisła Kraków U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wisła Kraków U19 win
68.5% probability
Expected goals
2.70 – 1.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wisła Kraków U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Korona Kielce U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wisła Kraków U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 16% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.23 for Korona Kielce U19, a combined 3.92 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–07.2%
- 1–16.5%
- 3–06.5%
Recent form
Wisła Kraków U19
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)
Korona Kielce U19
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Miedź Legnica U19 · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-19T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Jagiellonia U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Raków Częstochowa U19 · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia U19 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Arkonia U19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Lech Poznań U19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce U19 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wisła Kraków U19 win, at 68.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.