Poland · Central Youth League · Matchweek 610:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 05:33 UTC

Wisła Kraków U19 vs Stal Rzeszów U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.15 for Stal Rzeszów U19, a combined total of 3.43. That distribution gives Wisła Kraków U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wisła Kraków U19 win

62.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wisła Kraków U19 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Stal Rzeszów U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wisła Kraków U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.28 goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.15 for Stal Rzeszów U19, a combined 3.43 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wisła Kraków U19 win63%
Draw19%
Stal Rzeszów U19 win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 1–07.4%

Recent form

Wisła Kraków U19

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)

Stal Rzeszów U19

  • 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wisła Kraków U19 win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.