Wisła Kraków U19 vs Talent Warszawa U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.70 expected goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.55 for Talent Warszawa U19, a combined total of 4.26. That distribution gives Wisła Kraków U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wisła Kraków U19 win

61.9% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.70 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Wisła Kraków U19 home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wisła Kraków U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 18% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.70 goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.55 for Talent Warszawa U19, a combined 4.26 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

Wisła Kraków U19 win62%

Draw18%

Talent Warszawa U19 win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

38%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals61%

Both teams to score73%

Correct score

2–18.0%
3–17.2%
2–26.2%
1–15.9%
3–25.6%

Recent form

Wisła Kraków U19

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)

Talent Warszawa U19

2026-08-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia Warszawa U19	12	7	4	1	11	25
2	Miedź Legnica U19	12	8	1	3	12	25
3	Śląsk Wrocław U19	12	6	3	3	5	21
4	Wisła Kraków U19	12	5	5	2	6	20
5	Górnik Zabrze U19	12	4	6	2	7	18
6	Zagłębie Lubin U19	12	5	3	4	1	18
7	Jagiellonia U19	12	5	3	4	2	18
8	Arkonia U19	12	4	5	3	-1	17
9	Raków Częstochowa U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
10	Lech Poznań U19	12	5	1	6	0	16
11	Talent Warszawa U19	12	5	0	7	-5	15
12	Polonia Warszawa U19	12	4	2	6	2	14
13	Stal Rzeszów U19	12	4	2	6	-7	14
14	Korona Kielce U19	12	2	4	6	-11	10
15	Arka Gdynia U19	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Escola Varsovia U19	12	2	3	7	-12	9

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wisła Kraków U19 win, at 61.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.