Poland · Central Youth League · Matchweek 3013:00

2 – 1

Sunday, 31 May 2026

· Analysis updated 13:53 UTC

Wisła Kraków U19 vs Znicz Pruszków U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.73 for Znicz Pruszków U19, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Znicz Pruszków U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wisła Kraków U19 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Znicz Pruszków U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Znicz Pruszków U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 35% / 23% / 42% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Wisła Kraków U19 and 1.73 for Znicz Pruszków U19, a combined 3.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wisła Kraków U19 win35%
Draw23%
Znicz Pruszków U19 win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

Wisła Kraków U19

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Polonia Warszawa U19 · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zagłębie Lubin U19 · 2-2 (D)

Znicz Pruszków U19

  • 2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Wisła Kraków U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Arkonia U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Legia Warszawa U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Śląsk Wrocław U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Zabrze U19 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Central Youth League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.