· Analysis updated 19:27 UTC
Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs KSZO 1929 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Wiślanie Jaśkowice and 0.80 for KSZO 1929, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Wiślanie Jaśkowice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wiślanie Jaśkowice win
49.7% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 0.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wiślanie Jaśkowice home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KSZO 1929 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.7%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–011.6%
- 2–010.6%
- 0–19.3%
Recent form
Wiślanie Jaśkowice
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wisłoka Dębica · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokół Kolb. · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Jarosław · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Busko-Zdroj · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Czarni Połaniec · 0-1 (L)
KSZO 1929
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Busko-Zdroj · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Czarni Połaniec · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hetman Zamosc · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chełmianka Chełm · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Wisła Kraków II · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T17:46:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 2-2 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2026-02-28T13:00:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-2 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2025-08-15T17:29:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-5 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2025-05-16T15:30:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 1-2 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2024-10-20T16:00:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-1 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2024-05-31T17:29:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 2-0 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
- 2023-11-11T12:30:00.000Z · Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-1 KSZO 1929 (III Liga - Group 4)
III Liga - Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chełmianka Chełm | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | KSZO 1929 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Wisłoka Dębica | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 26 |
| 4 | Naprzód | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
| 6 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Wisła Kraków II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jarosław | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 |
| 11 | Star Starachowice | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Sokół Kolb. | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Busko-Zdroj | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -11 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wiślanie Jaśkowice win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.