Wofoo Tai Po vs BC Rangers Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Wofoo Tai Po and 1.50 for BC Rangers, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Wofoo Tai Po the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wofoo Tai Po win

59.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Wofoo Tai Po home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wofoo Tai Po to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Wofoo Tai Po and 1.50 for BC Rangers, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wofoo Tai Po win59%

Draw19%

BC Rangers win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

2–18.6%
3–17.2%
1–16.9%
2–26.4%
2–05.7%

Recent form

Wofoo Tai Po

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kitchee · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Southern District · 4-2 (W)
2026-10-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Home United · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Kowloon City · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-04T08:00:00.000Z · A vs BC Rangers · 3-1 (W)

BC Rangers

2026-10-25T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Warriors · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs North District · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Warriors · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-04T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Wofoo Tai Po · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Eastern · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · Wofoo Tai Po 3-2 BC Rangers (Premier League)
2026-05-23T07:00:00.000Z · Wofoo Tai Po 2-0 BC Rangers (FA Cup)
2026-03-22T07:00:00.000Z · Wofoo Tai Po 2-0 BC Rangers (Premier League)
2026-02-18T07:00:00.000Z · Wofoo Tai Po 4-1 BC Rangers (Senior Shield)
2025-11-01T07:00:00.000Z · Wofoo Tai Po 6-1 BC Rangers (Premier League)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kitchee	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	North District	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Wofoo Tai Po	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Eastern	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kowloon City	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Eastern District	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Southern District	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	BC Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Hong Kong FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Shatin	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wofoo Tai Po win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.