Austria · Cup · Round of 6415:30

3 – 3

Saturday, 25 July 2026

Dietach Arena · Analysis updated 17:46 UTC

Wohnbau Dietach vs Bischofshofen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.37 expected goals for Wohnbau Dietach and 1.91 for Bischofshofen, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Wohnbau Dietach the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wohnbau Dietach win

48.8% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.37 – 1.91

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Bischofshofen away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wohnbau Dietach to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 20% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.37 goals for Wohnbau Dietach and 1.91 for Bischofshofen, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Wohnbau Dietach win49%
Draw20%
Bischofshofen win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 3–15.9%

Recent form

Wohnbau Dietach

  • 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-11T17:15:00.000Z · A vs UFC Hallein · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 4-2 (W)

Bischofshofen

  • 2026-09-04T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SCR Altach · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Wohnbau Dietach · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 3-7 (L)
  • 2026-06-07T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kuchl · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-03T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwaz · 4-3 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · Wohnbau Dietach 3-3 Bischofshofen (Cup)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wohnbau Dietach win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.