· Analysis updated 14:51 UTC
Wolfsberg vs Austria Klagenfurt Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Wolfsberg and 1.58 for Austria Klagenfurt, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Austria Klagenfurt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Austria Klagenfurt win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wolfsberg home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Austria Klagenfurt away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Austria Klagenfurt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 26% / 25% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for Wolfsberg and 1.58 for Austria Klagenfurt, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.0%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.8%
- 1–07.6%
Recent form
Wolfsberg
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Völkermarkt · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-11T17:20:00.000Z · A vs Austria Klagenfurt · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Donau Klagenfurt · 0-0 (D)
Austria Klagenfurt
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Treibach · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-22T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Donau Klagenfurt · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T17:20:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsberg · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velden | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Deutschlandsberger SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Völkermarkt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Treibach | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Austria Klagenfurt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Weiz | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 7 | Kalsdorf | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | SV Lafnitz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Allerheiligen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Tillmitsch | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Bleiburg | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Hartberg (Am) | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Wolfsberg | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -17 | 10 |
| 15 | Gleisdorf 09 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 16 | Donau Klagenfurt | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Austria Klagenfurt win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.