Wolfsberger AC II vs Wohnbau Dietach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC II and 1.18 for Wohnbau Dietach, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Wolfsberger AC II win

47.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Wolfsberger AC II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wohnbau Dietach away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsberger AC II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Wolfsberger AC II and 1.18 for Wohnbau Dietach, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wolfsberger AC II win47%

Draw25%

Wohnbau Dietach win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–111.7%
1–010.0%
2–19.4%
2–08.0%
0–17.3%

Recent form

Wolfsberger AC II

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Treibach · 4-5 (L)
2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Klagenfurt · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Donau Klagenfurt · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsberg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Velden · 0-1 (L)

Wohnbau Dietach

2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 0-5 (L)
2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-6 (L)
2026-08-11T17:15:00.000Z · A vs UFC Hallein · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Mitte table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Voitsberg	30	26	2	2	92	80
2	Gurten	30	20	4	6	31	64
3	Oedt	30	15	10	5	30	55
4	LASK Juniors	30	15	6	9	22	51
5	Deutschlandsberger SC	30	14	9	7	8	51
6	Kalsdorf	30	15	4	11	6	49
7	Velden	30	13	7	10	3	46
8	SV Lafnitz	30	12	6	12	-5	42
9	Wallern / Marienkirchen	30	12	4	14	-7	40
10	Weiz	30	10	9	11	-5	39
11	Wolfsberger AC II	30	9	7	14	-1	34
12	Wohnbau Dietach	30	9	5	16	-24	32
13	Gleisdorf 09	30	7	9	14	-29	30
14	Treibach	30	7	3	20	-36	24
15	Ried II	30	7	4	19	-31	25
16	St. Anna	30	2	5	23	-54	11

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Wolfsberger AC II win, at 47.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.