Germany · 2. Frauen Bundesliga · Matchweek 2212:00

0 – 3

Sunday, 5 April 2026

VfL-Stadion am Elsterweg · Analysis updated 06:35 UTC

Wolfsburg II W vs Turbine Potsdam W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Wolfsburg II W and 1.56 for Turbine Potsdam W, a combined total of 3.04. That distribution gives Turbine Potsdam W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Wolfsburg II W home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Turbine Potsdam W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Turbine Potsdam W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 36% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Wolfsburg II W and 1.56 for Turbine Potsdam W, a combined 3.04 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Wolfsburg II W win36%
Draw24%
Turbine Potsdam W win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

64%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.4%
  • 1–07.0%

Recent form

Wolfsburg II W

  • 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankfurt II W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgart W · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Mainz 05 W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Andernach W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-04-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Turbine Potsdam W · 0-3 (L)

Turbine Potsdam W

  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SGS Essen W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Carl Zeiss Jena W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hertha Berlin W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FSV Babelsberg W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Borussia Monchengladbach W · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Frauen Bundesliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoria Berlin W109011227
2SGS Essen W107212123
3Hertha Berlin W10721723
4Bochum W106221420
5Meppen W10442716
6Ingolstadt W10433315
7Carl Zeiss Jena W10415113
8Borussia Monchengladbach W10415-113
9Andernach W10415-913
10SC Sand W10334-312
11Eintracht Frankfurt II W10316-1210
12Hoffenheim II W10127-105
13Turbine Potsdam W10127-155
14FC Koln II W10028-152

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.