· Analysis updated 09:53 UTC
Wolfsburg U19 vs Augsburg U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.56 for Augsburg U19, a combined total of 3.84. That distribution gives Wolfsburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Wolfsburg U19 win
53.8% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wolfsburg U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Augsburg U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 20% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.56 for Augsburg U19, a combined 3.84 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
46%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–26.8%
- 3–16.6%
- 1–26.0%
Recent form
Wolfsburg U19
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 6-0 (W)
Augsburg U19
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hoffenheim U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandhausen U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Stuttgarter K'rs U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Ulm U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC U19 · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Wolfsburg U19 win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.