· Analysis updated 20:23 UTC
Wolfsburg U19 vs Preußen Münster U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.99 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Wolfsburg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.3% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Wolfsburg U19 home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Preußen Münster U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsburg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Wolfsburg U19 and 1.99 for Preußen Münster U19, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.0%
- 1–27.0%
- 3–15.1%
Recent form
Wolfsburg U19
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Preußen Münster U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Paderborn U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Meppen U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · A vs SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 · 6-0 (W)
Preußen Münster U19
- 2026-08-23T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsburg U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-14T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hannover 96 U19 · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Paderborn U19 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Magdeburg U19 · 3-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.