· Analysis updated 10:47 UTC
Woltmershausen vs Hemelingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.80 expected goals for Woltmershausen and 4.45 for Hemelingen, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives Hemelingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 93%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 93% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Hemelingen win
92.5% probability
Expected goals
0.80 – 4.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Woltmershausen home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hemelingen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hemelingen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 93%, against 3% / 5% / 93% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.80 goals for Woltmershausen and 4.45 for Hemelingen, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
8%
Double chance 12
95%
Double chance X2
98%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–48.6%
- 0–37.7%
- 0–57.6%
- 1–46.9%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Woltmershausen
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Blumenthaler SV · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vatan Sport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OSC Bremerhaven · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aumund-Vegesack · 1-7 (L)
- 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Eiche Horn · 2-3 (L)
Hemelingen
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Aumund-Vegesack · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oberneuland · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Eiche Horn · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwachhausen · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Woltmershausen · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Bremen table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brinkumer SV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 30 |
| 2 | Hemelingen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 28 |
| 3 | Blumenthaler SV | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 27 |
| 4 | OSC Bremerhaven | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 25 |
| 5 | Aumund-Vegesack | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Geestemünde | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Schwachhausen | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 8 | Union Bremen | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Vatan Sport | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Eiche Horn | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 12 |
| 11 | BTS Neustadt | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -12 | 12 |
| 12 | Leher TS | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 | Grohn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -23 | 10 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen III | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 5 |
| 15 | Oberneuland | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -31 | 5 |
| 16 | Woltmershausen | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -30 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Hemelingen win, at 92.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 93% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.